NDCMP Weather Forecast

District 1District 2
Transition (UTC)710913
FirstSecondThirdFirstSecondThird
Forecasted WeatherNO SIGRAINNO SIGNO SIGRAINNO SIG

Forecaster: Lynnlee Rosolino

Synopsis


For the most part today should be a calm day with decreased dewpoints and fairly uniform zonal flow. Winds will be fairly strong especially in D2 where we will be under the influence of a jet streak. A low pressure system in Wyoming will bring some moisture in the overnight hours potentially sparking some rain, but there is not much CAPE if any, so significant convecion is unlikely. There is a chance for rain in D1 beginning at 7Z, potentially driven by a shortwave in Northeastern Wyoming. The rain chance moves into D2 a few hours later, closer to 9Z. Overall, there is little chance for much significant weather, but there is a possibilty of something popping up.

6/6/21


Flash Flood Guidance (Click Image for 1hr, 3hr, & 6hr Graphics)

Low dewpoints for the daytime hours

Strong 500mb winds persist all day

Elevated dewpoints overnight

A shortwave in Wyoming potentially influencing significant weather


Indices


Lifted Index
(<1)
K index
(>30)
Total Totals
(>48)
Sweat
(>200)
Cape
(>125)
CIN
(>-100)
Bulk Richarson Number
(>3)
Helicity
(>125)
D1 7.8 -5 37 86 0 0 0 93
ISN 8.7 -3.6 36.1 99 0 0 0 33
MOT 9.3 -5.6 34.3 108 0 0 0 34

Jefferson Index
(>28.5)
Cross Totals
(>18.65)
Thompson Index
(>28.5)
S Index
(>35.8)
Showalter Index
(<=0.5)
Cap Strength
(0-2.65°C)
D1 9 10.7 -12.8 4.2 7.5 0
ISN 11 9.8 -12.3 8.9 8.6 0
MOT 10 8.6 -14.9 5.7 9.4 0

Weather Features

  • Jet Stream (PVA) RRQ or LFQ
  • Short Wave Trough
  • Upper Level Trough
  • Zonal Flow