NDCMP Weather Forecast

District 1District 2
Transition (UTC)012012
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Forecasted WeatherNO SIGNO SIGNO SIGNO SIGNO SIGNO SIG

Forecaster: Daniel Brothers

Synopsis


Today continues to be dry as North Dakota is stuck in NW flow aloft out ahead of the upper level ridge building to the west. It will take a couple days before this ridge moves over ND. In the meantime, continued low dew points, clear skies, and dry conditions will persist. The axis of the ridge starts to cross into W ND Sunday night and by Monday afternoon the upper level flow shifts into a somewhat more favorable pattern for next week, though no solid convective days are apparent, yet.

8/30/24


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Flash Flood Guidance (Click Image for 1hr, 3hr, & 6hr Graphics)

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NW flow aloft ahead of the building upper level ridge

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Westerly flow at the surface will keep drier air over the region

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Dew Points continue to be low today

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There is no instability to work with today.

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The ridge axis is near the MT/ND border on Sunday night

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By Monday afternoon, there is at least some cyclonic vorticity nearing ND


Indices


Lifted Index
(<1)		 K index
(>30)		 Total Totals
(>48)		 Sweat
(>200)		 Cape
(>125)		 CIN
(>-100)		 Bulk Richarson Number
(>3)		 Helicity
(>125)
D1 3.4 21.4 44.3 87 0 0 0 93
ISN 3.2 20.6 44.8 113 0 0 0 90
MOT 2.8 28.7 45.4 130 0 0 0 113

Jefferson Index
(>28.5)		Cross Totals
(>18.65)		Thompson Index
(>28.5)		S Index
(>35.8)		Showalter Index
(<=0.5)		Cap Strength
(0-2.65°C)
D1 23 12.7 18 31.1 3.3 0
ISN 23 14.8 17.4 31.4 3.1 0
MOT 28 15.8 25.9 40.2 2.8 0

Weather Features

  • Subsidence
  • Upper Level Ridge

Soundings


Bowman Sounding Text
Williston Sounding Text
Minot Sounding Text