NDCMP Weather Forecast

	District 1					District 2
Transition (UTC)		0		12			0		4
	First		Second		Third	First		Second		Third
Forecasted Weather	NO SIG		NO SIG		NO SIG	NO SIG		TSRA		NO SIG

Forecaster: Grant Peterson

Synopsis

Today will be mostly dry with a chance of showers and possibly a few weak thunderstorms in D2 this evening. There may be some light rain showers in D2 tomorrow morning but I am expecting them to diminsh as they approach from the north because of unfavorable thermodynamic conditions. Winds will be slightly gusty out of the northwest and will switch northeast after midnight.

The upper atmosphere is quite zonal today. Tomorrow morning an upper-level ridge will make its way into districts. There is very little vertical forcing today in D1. In D2 there is some weaker forcing this evening for a few hours, however very little instability (100-300 J/kg) is expected so the chances of thunderstorms are quite conditional. It will be relatively dry with dew points temperatures in the upper 40s and lower 50s today. A surface high will make its way tomorrow morning bringing some moisture from the south. D1 may experience some patchy fog in the morning with dew points expected to reach 60s. Tomorrow morning there may be a very slight chance for some rain in D2 but soundings hint at a very stable enivornment with very little forcing at 12Z.

Looking ahead, there may be some chances for showers and thunderstorms in both districts Thursday afternoon through Thursday night driven from a shortwave trough. On Friday, temperatures will be below average and may bring some more chances for convection.