NDCMP Weather Forecast
| District 1 | District 2 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transition (UTC) | 18 | 7 | 20 | 2 | ||||||||
| First | Second | Third | First | Second | Third | |||||||
| Forecasted Weather | NO SIG | HAIL | NO SIG | NO SIG | HAIL | NO SIG | ||||||
Forecaster: Eliza Fries
Synopsis
The high pressure that was moving into northern North Dakota yesterday will continue to push southward throughout the day. As that system moves out, a low pressure system in Canada will push further south, not quite in North Dakota as of tomorrow morning, but could have some effects on forcing as it moves southwards. An upper level jet streak associated with the low pressure system will be present as well as it moves further south toward district 2 overnight. Today could be similar to yesterday in district 1 with pop-up thunderstoms possible with a slight potnetial of being a hail threat. Cape in district 1 is relatively high and good moisture should be present as well. In district 2 higher dewpoints and cape that could potentially reach 1000 today are favorable for pop-up storms and semi-organized cells. Shear in D2 today is around 30, which could help potential storm growth.
7/8/23
Indices
| Lifted Index (<1) |
K index (>30) |
Total Totals (>48) |
Sweat (>200) |
Cape (>125) |
CIN (>-100) |
Bulk Richarson Number (>3) |
Helicity (>125) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 0.3 | 34.7 | 50.5 | 120 | -16 | -46 | 1 | 38 |
| ISN | -0.5 | 36.4 | 51.8 | 168 | 82 | -6 | 8 | 49 |
| MOT | -1 | 37.2 | 51.8 | 190 | 184 | -23 | 10 | 114 |
| Jefferson Index (>28.5) | Cross Totals (>18.65) | Thompson Index (>28.5) | S Index (>35.8) | Showalter Index (<=0.5) | Cap Strength (0-2.65°C) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 32 | 17.6 | 34.4 | 47.9 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| ISN | 33 | 18.7 | 36.9 | 50.1 | -0.6 | 0.4 |
| MOT | 33 | 20 | 38.2 | 51.5 | -0.6 | 0.5 |
Weather Features
- Short Wave Trough
- Surface High Pressure
- Surface Low