NDCMP Weather Forecast

	District 1					District 2
Transition (UTC)		0		11			22		15
	First		Second		Third	First		Second		Third
Forecasted Weather	NO SIG		NO SIG		TSRA	RAIN		NO SIG		TSRA

Forecaster: Jacob Azriel

Synopsis

Another fairly quiet day today across both districts.

Low pressure system that helped bring very gusty winds and cloudy weather yesterday continues to exit the region bringing northwesterly flow across both districts. Remains a bit gusty across both regions but not nearly as bad as yesterday. An area of high pressure will move east towards our region bringing southeasterly flow. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in both districts tomorrow morning.

D1...

Nice day in D1. Low dewpoints in the upper 30s to low 40s will keep chances for showers near zero today. It will be much warmer than the past few days with highs in the upper 70s. The 0z HRRR sounding shows very little moisture in all levels of the atmosphere today leading to very unfavorable conditions for the development of showers and thunderstorms. Into tomorrow morning, winds shift bringing more southerly flow to the district allowing dewpoints to significantly increase into the mid-upper 50s. In the early morning hours tomorrow a chance for a shower or thunderstorm exists with elevated convection fueled by CAPE over 1,000 J/kg. Chances are low for thunderstorms, but not non-zero and worth noting.

High: Upper 70s Low: Upper 50s Dewpoint (max): Upper 50s

D2...

Morning cloud cover will persist into the late afternoon and evening hours. Due to the clouds it will be much cooler in most of D2 with highs only reaching the mid-upper 60s or around 70 in places where the clouds disipate. As opposed to D1, there will be much more moisture since dewpoints will be in the mid 50s. Despite high dewpoints, the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere remain dry limiting the chances for significant shower and thunderstorm development. However, with the northwesterly flow and high dewpoints expect scattered showers today. In the morning hours tomorrow a chance for a shower or thunderstorm exists with elevated convection fueled by CAPE over 1,000 J/kg and high dewpoints. Chances are low for thunderstorms, but not non-zero and worth noting especially in McKenzie County.

High: Upper 60s Low: Lower 50s Dewpoint (max): Upper 50s