NDCMP Weather Forecast
| District 1 | District 2 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transition (UTC) | 18 | 22 | 18 | 22 | ||||||||
| First | Second | Third | First | Second | Third | |||||||
| Forecasted Weather | NO SIG | NO SIG | RAIN | NO SIG | NO SIG | HAIL | ||||||
Forecaster: Cody Cameron
Synopsis
District 1
Temperatures are in the low 80s with dewpoints low in the upper 40s. With no primary lifting mechanism and dryness of the column there isn't a strong chance for storms. The most likely time for storms would be the same as D2 when the cold front passes over around 22Z. These storms would lack strength and height. They will also be isolated and quick.
District 2
Temperatures are in the low 80s with dewpoints low in the upper 40s. CAPE is decent with values upwards of 500 J/kg uncapped along with 200 SRH values. This will give the storms some strength and longevity with potential for hail. A fairly strong cold front moves through around 01Z which will spark many storms along it as a low pressure system advances south. Since there are no lifting mechanisms before this, skies will be clear up until 22Z and continuing until 03Z. There likely will be some structure with some embedded cells but also some isolated earlier in the evening.
8/8/23
Indices
| Lifted Index (<1) |
K index (>30) |
Total Totals (>48) |
Sweat (>200) |
Cape (>125) |
CIN (>-100) |
Bulk Richarson Number (>3) |
Helicity (>125) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 0.1 | 35.8 | 49.8 | 124 | 15 | -10 | 2 | 5 |
| ISN | -0.1 | 38 | 52.1 | 181 | 159 | -10 | 8 | 37 |
| MOT | -0.1 | 35.6 | 50.4 | 162 | 55 | -9 | 3 | 28 |
| Jefferson Index (>28.5) | Cross Totals (>18.65) | Thompson Index (>28.5) | S Index (>35.8) | Showalter Index (<=0.5) | Cap Strength (0-2.65°C) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 32 | 18.5 | 35.7 | 47.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| ISN | 33 | 19.6 | 38.9 | 51.2 | -1 | 0.2 |
| MOT | 32 | 19.7 | 35.7 | 48.9 | 0 | 0.5 |
Weather Features
- Cold Front
- Surface Trough