NDCMP Weather Forecast
District 1 | District 2 | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Transition (UTC) | 3 | 12 | 3 | 12 | ||||||||
First | Second | Third | First | Second | Third | |||||||
Forecasted Weather | NO SIG | NO SIG | NO SIG | NO SIG | NO SIG | NO SIG |
Forecaster: Grant Westerhaus
Synopsis
A warmer, less windy, and quiet day across the forecast area Sunday. The low pressure in control of our weather the last few days slides far enough to the east into Canada while high pressure and a strong ridge builds in from the west. Winds calm throughout the day as the pressure gradient weakens overhead. Conditions are favorable in eastern and central North Dakota for a popcorn shower and thunderstorm day in the northwest flow on the back side of the low. However, these storms will stay to our east and outside of the project area. Sunday afternoon... Warmer. Less windy. For D1 temperatures in the low 70s and dew points in the low 40s. Calm, stable air under the subsidence provided by high pressure moving overhead. For D2 temperatures in the low to mid 70s and dew points in the mid 40s. High pressure moves in the from the west over the course of the day. Showers and thunderstorms will fire in eastern and central North Dakota today as conditions are more favorable outside of the project area. Monday morning... A cool start to the day before the warming trend continues. Clear and calm for all areas as a strong ridge sets up over the Rockies. No significant weather expected for the project area on Monday before briefing. Looking ahead... The warming trend continues into Monday and Tuesday. A mid-level shortwave trough increases the chance for thunderstorms late Tuesday into Wednesday and brings with it the next chance for project operations.
6/26/22
A strong ridge builds in from the west allowing for a warming trend and calm conditions to continue.
An upper level low to the NE over Canada will bring NW flow and showers and thunderstorms to eastern and central North Dakota today. These storms should remain outside of the project area.
Indices
Lifted Index (<1) |
K index (>30) |
Total Totals (>48) |
Sweat (>200) |
Cape (>125) |
CIN (>-100) |
Bulk Richarson Number (>3) |
Helicity (>125) |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D1 | 1.8 | 9.6 | 48.9 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
ISN | -0.1 | 15.7 | 52.3 | 141 | -107 | -136 | 3 | 28 |
MOT | -0.5 | 25.4 | 53 | 198 | 189 | -15 | 11 | 60 |
Jefferson Index (>28.5) | Cross Totals (>18.65) | Thompson Index (>28.5) | S Index (>35.8) | Showalter Index (<=0.5) | Cap Strength (0-2.65°C) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D1 | 20 | 18.2 | 7.8 | 25.4 | 1.7 | 0 |
ISN | 24 | 20.8 | 15.8 | 33.3 | 0.1 | 1.9 |
MOT | 29 | 22.4 | 25.9 | 43 | -0.5 | 0.3 |
Weather Features
- Surface High Pressure
- Upper Level Ridge