NDCMP Weather Forecast
| District 1 | District 2 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transition (UTC) | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | ||||||||
| First | Second | Third | First | Second | Third | |||||||
| Forecasted Weather | NO SIG | RAIN | NO SIG | NO SIG | TSRA | NO SIG | ||||||
Forecaster: Lynnlee Rosolino
Synopsis
Most of today should be clear, with brief chances for weather in each district. An upper level trough is moving into the region through the next few days. A surface low pressure system is expected to move into Western North Dakota overnight, possibly influencing the weather. District 1 is expected to be warm and dry most of the forecast period, however a pocket of moisture is expected to pass through overnight as the surface low and stationary front pass. This could allow for precipitation, however convective development is unlikely. District 2 is expected to have higher dewpoints than District 1 and a region of CAPE is expected to develop in Mountrail County overnight. A shortwave trough is expected to move through the region in the late evening. Thunderstorms are possible in District 2, especially if the forcing and CAPE occur at the same time.
8/23/21
Indices
| Lifted Index (<1) |
K index (>30) |
Total Totals (>48) |
Sweat (>200) |
Cape (>125) |
CIN (>-100) |
Bulk Richarson Number (>3) |
Helicity (>125) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 0.5 | 25.7 | 50 | 273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 193 |
| ISN | 0.2 | 22.4 | 49.3 | 345 | -182 | -189 | 0 | 328 |
| MOT | 4.4 | 18.7 | 39.8 | 240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 |
| Jefferson Index (>28.5) | Cross Totals (>18.65) | Thompson Index (>28.5) | S Index (>35.8) | Showalter Index (<=0.5) | Cap Strength (0-2.65°C) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 26 | 13.7 | 25.2 | 36.7 | 0.3 | 2.8 |
| ISN | 25 | 19.3 | 22.2 | 33 | -0.2 | 3.6 |
| MOT | 22 | 12.9 | 14.3 | 29.1 | 6.1 | 0 |
Weather Features
- Short Wave Trough
- Stationary Front
- Surface Low
- Upper Level Trough