NDCMP Weather Forecast

District 1District 2
Transition (UTC)012012
FirstSecondThirdFirstSecondThird
Forecasted WeatherNO SIGNO SIGNO SIGNO SIGNO SIGNO SIG

Forecaster: Jacob Azriel

Synopsis


Quiet and breezy today.


Strong ridging begins to dominate our weather today. This will keep things very quiet today and the next few days. No lifting or CAPE exist at all in either districts. It will also be very dry with dew points in the 30s and 40s. A surface high pressure pressure will slide east into the forecast area overnight today. Heat will build over the next few days.

D1...

Clear and quiet today with a breezy northwesterly wind. Seasonably warm with highs topping out around 80 before a warming trend as the week progresses.

Operations are not expected.


D2...

Quiet today, but a breezy northwesterly wind will exist. Highs topping out near a seasonable 80 today. Heat will build in over the next couple days as that ridge sets up. Even with our northwesterly flow, no popcorn showers are expected due to lack of moisture and CAPE.

Operations are not expected.


Looking ahead... Looks dry through mid week. Next chance for ops would be during extension in D2 in the second half of this week.

8/29/22


Flash Flood Guidance (Click Image for 1hr, 3hr, & 6hr Graphics)

Temperatures at 22z

Dew points at 0z

Most Unstable CAPE at 0z

Simulated IR at 0z

250mb height map at 12z today

D1 HRRR Sounding at 0z

D2 HRRR Sounding at 0z


Indices


Lifted Index
(<1)
K index
(>30)
Total Totals
(>48)
Sweat
(>200)
Cape
(>125)
CIN
(>-100)
Bulk Richarson Number
(>3)
Helicity
(>125)
D1 9.7 4.8 33.2 89 0 0 0 36
ISN 8.3 12.8 35 123 0 0 0 75
MOT 9.1 5.9 34.8 152 0 0 0 109

Jefferson Index
(>28.5)
Cross Totals
(>18.65)
Thompson Index
(>28.5)
S Index
(>35.8)
Showalter Index
(<=0.5)
Cap Strength
(0-2.65°C)
D1 13 8.6 -4.9 9.3 9.2 0
ISN 17 11.1 4.5 18 8.2 0
MOT 14 12.8 -3.2 8.4 8.7 0

Weather Features

  • Surface High Pressure
  • Upper Level Ridge