NDCMP Weather Forecast
| District 1 | District 2 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transition (UTC) | 0 | 12 | 18 | 0 | ||||||||
| First | Second | Third | First | Second | Third | |||||||
| Forecasted Weather | NO SIG | NO SIG | NO SIG | NO SIG | RAIN | NO SIG | ||||||
Forecaster: Jacob Azriel
Synopsis
A low pressure system is currently located in Minnesota and continuing to move eastward, but for now it's resposible for some northeasterly flow across our region today. A surface high pressure system and an approaching ridge will help encourage clear skies and sinking air at the surface and aloft.
D1...
Quiet day today. Lack of CAPE, forcing, moisture, or pretty much any other thunderstorm parameter you can think of will result in a sunny day. A vigerous cumulus/semi-towering cumulus field is not as likely today with our highs topping off a few degrees cooler than the convective temperature.
D2...
Nice weather today over the entire district, but a pesky shower chance remains over Mountrail County. Although, this threat is not as great as yesterday and given Mountrail is suspended for rain enhancement operations are not going to happen. Generally, the further east in D2 you go the more likely a shower is, where XWA and Watford's chance is near 0% and Stanley's is a slight chance. This is reflected in the sounding indicies table for this evening.
Looking ahead... One more day of comfortable weather tomorrow before the heat returns in time for the new week. Currently seeing limited to no chances for ops in the next couple days.
8/19/22
Indices
| Lifted Index (<1) |
K index (>30) |
Total Totals (>48) |
Sweat (>200) |
Cape (>125) |
CIN (>-100) |
Bulk Richarson Number (>3) |
Helicity (>125) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 1.6 | 25.6 | 44.2 | 137 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| ISN | 1.4 | 24.3 | 43.2 | 162 | -169 | -191 | 3 | 10 |
| MOT | -0.7 | 32.5 | 46.2 | 189 | 271 | -1 | 88 | 7 |
| Jefferson Index (>28.5) | Cross Totals (>18.65) | Thompson Index (>28.5) | S Index (>35.8) | Showalter Index (<=0.5) | Cap Strength (0-2.65°C) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | 25 | 17.2 | 24 | 34.6 | 2.6 | 0 |
| ISN | 25 | 18.9 | 22.9 | 30.7 | 2.4 | -0.2 |
| MOT | 31 | 22 | 33.2 | 40.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
Weather Features
- Surface High Pressure
- Surface Low
- Upper Level Ridge