NDCMP Weather Forecast

District 1District 2
Transition (UTC)238238
FirstSecondThirdFirstSecondThird
Forecasted WeatherNO SIGNO SIGNO SIGNO SIGNO SIGNO SIG

Forecaster: Benjamin Schaefer

Synopsis


A quiet weather day is expected for both districts. A prominent mid to upper-level ridge with associated high pressure will begin to dominate the western United States and influence our region today. At the surface, a broad area of high pressure will sit over the Dakotas, generating light winds out of the north and northwest. This wind flow pattern wrapping around the surface high will bring warmer, dryer air to the region today. Expect temperatures to be in the mid 80s in both districts today, with dewpoints in the low 50s in district 2 and upper 40s in district 1. Given this relatively large temperature to dewpoint difference, the presence of the surface high pressure, and extremely dry mid-levels, expect a stable atmosphere, and no sigificant weather during the entire forecast period.

7/10/21


Flash Flood Guidance (Click Image for 1hr, 3hr, & 6hr Graphics)

A large upper-level ridge located over the western United States will influence our region today.

A broad area of surface high pressure will sit over the region today, aiding to suppress significant weather activity.

Warm temperatures well into the 80s expected for both districts today.

Lower dewpoints in the upper 40s to low 50s are expected today.


Indices


Lifted Index
(<1)
K index
(>30)
Total Totals
(>48)
Sweat
(>200)
Cape
(>125)
CIN
(>-100)
Bulk Richarson Number
(>3)
Helicity
(>125)
D1 2.6 6.3 43.8 129 0 0 0 14
ISN 2.8 15.3 43.1 124 0 0 0 -7
MOT 1 17.8 46 155 -145 -166 1 3

Jefferson Index
(>28.5)
Cross Totals
(>18.65)
Thompson Index
(>28.5)
S Index
(>35.8)
Showalter Index
(<=0.5)
Cap Strength
(0-2.65°C)
D1 15 16 3.7 13.7 2.6 0
ISN 20 16.3 12.5 22.5 2.8 0
MOT 22 18.6 16.8 26.1 1 1.6

Weather Features

  • Surface High Pressure
  • Upper Level Ridge