NDCMP Weather Forecast

	District 1					District 2
Transition (UTC)		22		7			22		7
	First		Second		Third	First		Second		Third
Forecasted Weather	NO SIG		NO SIG		NO SIG	NO SIG		NO SIG		NO SIG

Forecaster: Benjamin Schaefer

Synopsis

Expect a quiet weather day for both districts following the passage of the cold front. Northwesterly winds will persist throughout much of the day today, bringing dry air to the region. Temperatures will range from the upper 70s in district 2 to mid 80s in district 1. Dewpoints will be in the 40s across both districts. The lack of moisture in the region, and the presence of a surface high pressure approaching from northeastern Montana, will inhibit any significant weather during the entire forecast period.

7/12/21

Flash Flood Guidance (Click Image for 1hr, 3hr, & 6hr Graphics)

200mb analysis shows the persisting upper-level ridge over the southwestern United States, with a weakening and flattened jet streak over the northwestern United States.

500mb analysis shows no mid-level shortwaves moving through the region, aiding in quiet weather for the forecast period.

A large area of surface high pressure will influence our region from the northwest, helping to keep the weather quiet for the forecast period.

Temperatures will range from the upper 70s to mid 80s across western North Dakota.

Northwesterly winds today will bring dryer air to the region, resulting in low dewpoints in the 40s.

Indices

	Lifted Index (<1)	K index (>30)	Total Totals (>48)	Sweat (>200)	Helicity (>125)
D1	2.3	23.2	46.5	126	3
ISN	2.6	22.6	45.4	118	31
MOT	2.4	15.9	45.5	145	6

	Jefferson Index (>28.5)	Cross Totals (>18.65)	Thompson Index (>28.5)	S Index (>35.8)	Showalter Index (<=0.5)
D1	24	15.7	20.9	32.8	1.7
ISN	25	16.2	20	33.5	2.6
MOT	21	17.6	13.5	26.7	2.4

Weather Features

Surface High Pressure
Upper Level Ridge

Soundings

Bowman Sounding Text

Williston Sounding Text

Minot Sounding Text