NDCMP Weather Forecast

	District 1					District 2
Transition (UTC)		3		11			4		12
	First		Second		Third	First		Second		Third
Forecasted Weather	NO SIG		RAIN		NO SIG	NO SIG		TSRA		NO SIG

Forecaster: Mark Schneider

Synopsis

An omega block upper-level pattern remains in place today; however shortwave troughs continue to work through the northern periphery of our ridge. At the surface, a stationary front stretches from NE Wyoming northwestward into Central MT and this boundary isn't expected to move eastward until tomorrow into Thursday. Both districts are currently sitting between last night's shortwave trough and the next upstream shortwave, so conditions should remain capped during the daytime hours today. Tonight's setup includes a weaker shortwave that lifts northeastward through Montana towards District II. Convection in Central MT should develop throughout the evening and advect northeastward. Because western ND will be very capped during the overnight hours and the low level jet remains out west in E MT, convection is expected to weaken substantially to rain showers and TSRA and not pose a hail threat because of the sounding profiles. The 12Z HAILCAST run shows a blank slate as well for overnight/tomorrow morning. Everything should clear out of District II by around 12Z and return to NO SIG until brieifng tomorrow. District I looks to see only a few remnant rain showers late evening and overnight.